Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 6.491404e-05 0.000078 0.000091 0.000107 0.000125 0.000144 0.000166
2025-03-23 4.899695e-05 0.000065 0.000085 0.000108 0.000136 0.000167 0.000205
2025-03-30 3.956710e-05 0.000057 0.000079 0.000107 0.000141 0.000181 0.000231
2025-04-06 3.133004e-05 0.000049 0.000073 0.000104 0.000144 0.000192 0.000253
2025-04-13 2.681919e-05 0.000045 0.000071 0.000106 0.000151 0.000207 0.000280
2025-04-20 2.114628e-05 0.000039 0.000064 0.000101 0.000150 0.000213 0.000295
2025-04-27 1.780071e-05 0.000035 0.000062 0.000101 0.000154 0.000223 0.000316
2025-05-04 1.505597e-05 0.000032 0.000059 0.000100 0.000158 0.000234 0.000338
2025-05-11 1.351197e-05 0.000031 0.000059 0.000103 0.000166 0.000250 0.000366
2025-05-18 1.179494e-05 0.000029 0.000058 0.000104 0.000172 0.000263 0.000391
2025-05-25 9.411323e-06 0.000025 0.000054 0.000100 0.000170 0.000266 0.000402
2025-06-01 7.606773e-06 0.000023 0.000050 0.000098 0.000170 0.000271 0.000416
2025-06-08 6.184258e-06 0.000020 0.000048 0.000097 0.000174 0.000282 0.000439
2025-06-15 5.160943e-06 0.000019 0.000047 0.000098 0.000179 0.000296 0.000467
2025-06-22 4.116736e-06 0.000017 0.000045 0.000097 0.000182 0.000306 0.000489
2025-06-29 3.112134e-06 0.000015 0.000042 0.000094 0.000182 0.000312 0.000506
2025-07-06 2.601238e-06 0.000014 0.000041 0.000096 0.000188 0.000326 0.000534
2025-07-13 1.818102e-06 0.000012 0.000038 0.000091 0.000185 0.000327 0.000544
2025-07-20 1.408340e-06 0.000011 0.000036 0.000091 0.000188 0.000337 0.000567
2025-07-27 1.084610e-06 0.000010 0.000035 0.000091 0.000191 0.000347 0.000590
2025-08-03 9.320734e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000093 0.000199 0.000365 0.000624
2025-08-10 7.452656e-07 0.000009 0.000034 0.000094 0.000205 0.000379 0.000652
2025-08-17 4.759620e-07 0.000007 0.000032 0.000091 0.000202 0.000380 0.000663